Sci-Tech

Risks of increasing code 19 in cold weather

Cold weather is intensifying in the northern hemisphere, and researchers warn that the current state of the Code 19 epidemic could cause further damage to countries where the spread of the virus has not been controlled. According to Dave Derlemann, a microbiologist at Stanford University in New York, there is a good chance that coronavirus will grow in the future. Influenza and all respiratory diseases caused by corona virus.

It grows more in winter and decreases in spring. Researchers say it is too early to say whether Code 19 will become a seasonal virus like SARS Co2.

However, the spread has been very rapid. Even a slight change in the weather will increase the incidence of colds. It depends on how the virus spreads and how people behave and behave during the cold weather months. How can change increase that? The main reason for this is that people spend their summers in closed areas, where the air circulation is not well managed and the virus is spread, says Harvard Medical School’s Matthew Maticus’ mother Har Mario Sio Santella. The risk of transition increases.

According to Rachel Baker, an epidemiologist at Princeton University in New Jersey, people should not be complacent visiting these places even in the spring, but much of the spread of the disease will depend on how steps are taken to control it. The distance between the people and the use of masks will be the most important.

Experts further say that there are many factors in the weather conditions that affect people infected with the virus, including the behavior of people and the characteristics of the virus. For example, some viruses do not like hot, humid conditions. Experiments in the laboratory have shown that the SARS CO2 virus is more prevalent in cold and dry environments.

Especially in a place that is deprived of sunlight. Therefore, if artificial ultraviolet radiation (light) is present at the level of SARS CO2, it deactivates the parts in the air, especially when the temperature is 40 degrees. The virus spreads very quickly in hot and humid environments.

According to Dylan Morris, a metallurgical biologist at Princeton University, people heat their homes up to 20 degrees Celsius in the winter and the air is dry. Where its movement is not good and closed places in cold weather are very conducive to the virus.

To determine if virus infections increase or decrease with weather fluctuations? Researchers examine the spread of the disease to specific areas several times a year over a period of several years.

But researchers have examined the spread of the SARS Cove 2 in different parts of the world for a seasonal review. One study looked at the first four months of the outbreak of SARS-2. When most countries did not take control measures. This showed that the amount of ultraviolet rays was low. There it spread faster than ever.

After which he predicted that without any intervention the cases would decrease in the spring and the cases would increase again in the winter season. Changing your attitude can reduce them dramatically.

This was stated by Corey Marrow of the University of Connecticut, who is also an environmentalist and participant in the study. The weather is just a drop in the bucket. But Francois Cohen, an environmental economist at the University of Barcelona, ​​Spain, says testing was not very limited and reliable in the early days of the epidemic.

So at the moment it is impossible to say how much the weather will affect the spread of the virus. Becker used moisture sensitivity data for another corona virus to isolate the climatic effects of climate on the number of patients during the epidemic. Baker and his colleagues spent several years in New York City trying to determine the rate at which infections could decrease and increase after adopting different methods of controlling the effects without seasonal effects. They learned that a small change in the weather would result in a huge increase in the number of patients if steps were taken only to control the virus.

This is where the weather will beat you. Baker and his team suggest that stricter control measures will be needed to prevent the spread of the disease in the cold, which will require mutual distance and the use of masks. Mathematica epidemiologist Kathleen Orrell says that in the future, SARS-Cow2 could survive in a cold environment. Even so, owning one is still beyond the reach of the average person. The flu has been around for almost a century, but its specific mechanism for why it spreads in the cold is still not understood.

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